Reprints are provided for personal and educational (i.e. non-commercial) uses, and may also be obtained by email to




Tye MT, Ferrer-Cervantes, M E., Sánchez, AM., García-Cervigón, AI, Escudero A, Albert MJ, Olano JM, Iriondo JM & PF Quintana-Ascencio. 2017. Assessing seed and microsite limitation on population dynamics of a gypsophyte through experimental soil crust disturbance and seed addition. Plant Ecology, 218: 595-607. doi: 10.1007/s11258-017-0714-1 | pdf

Paniw, M., P. F. Quintana-Ascencio, F. Ojeda, & R. Salguero-Gómez. 2017. Interacting livestock and fire may both threaten and increase viability of a fire-adapted Mediterranean carnivorous subshrub. Journal of Applied Ecology, doi:10.1111/1365-2664.12872 | pdf


Paniw, M., P F. Quintana-Ascencio, F. Ojeda, and R. Salguero-Gómez. 2016. Accounting for uncertainty in dormant life stages in stochastic demographic models. Oikos, doi:10.1111/oik.03696 | pdf

Tye M R., Menges E.S, Weekley C, Quintana-Ascencio, P.F. and R. Salguero-Gomez. 2016. A demographic menage a trois: Interactions between disturbances both amplify and dampen population dynamics of an edemic plant. Journal of Ecology, 104:1778-1788 | pdf

Ulrey, C., Quintana-Ascencio, P.F., Kauffman, G., Smith, A.B., and E. S. Menges. 2016. Life at the top:  Long-term demography, microclimatic refugia, and responses to climate change for a high-elevation southern Appalachian endemic plant. Biological Conservation, 200: 80-92 | pdf

Chee, Y. E., L. Wilkinson, A. E. Nicholson, P. F. Quintana-Ascencio, J. E. Fauthd, D. Halle, K. J. Ponzio, L. Rump. 2016. Modelling spatial and temporal changes with GIS and Spatial and Dynamic Bayesian Networks. Environmental Modelling and Software, 82: 108-120. | pdf

Sánchez-Clavijo, L.M., J. Hearns & P.F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2016. Modeling the effect of habitat selection mechanisms on population responses to landscape structure. Ecological Modelling 328: 99-107 | pdf


Boughton, E. H., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F.; B., Patrick; Fauth, J.,  & Jenkins, D. 2015. Interactive effects of pasture-management intensity, release from grazing, and prescribed fire on forty subtropical wetland plant assemblages. Journal of Applied Ecology. 53: 159-170 | pdf

Stephens, E. L., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F. 2015. Effects of habitat degradation, microsite, and seed density on the persistence of two native herbs in a subtropical shrubland. American Journal of Botany 102: 1978-1995 | pdf

Medley, K. A., Boughton, E.H., D. G. Jenkins, J. E. Fauth, P. J. Bohlen & P. F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2015, Intense ranchland management tips the balance of regional and local factors affecting wetland community structure. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 212: 207-244 | pdf

Pannozzo P.L., P. F. Quintana-Ascencio C.R. Hinkle, R. F. Noss. 2015. Are state growth management programs viable tools for biodiversity conservation? A case study examining Florida local governments. Landscape and Urban Planning 139: 94-103 | pdf


Ceriani, S.A., Roth, J.D., Ehrhart, L.M. , Quintana-Ascencio P.F., and Weishampel, J.F. 2014. Developing a common currency for stable isotope analyses of nesting marine turtles. Marine Biology 161:2257-2268. Doi: 10. 1007/s00227-014-2503-x | pdf

Stephens, E.L., Tye, M.R., Quintana-Ascencio P.F., 2014. Habitat and microsite influence demography of two herbs in intact and degraded scrub. Population Ecology 56:447-461 | pdf

Castro Morales L. M., Quintana-Ascencio P.F., J. E. Fauth, K. J. Ponzio, and D. Hall. 2014. Environmental factors affecting germination and seedling survival of Carolina willow (Salix caroliniana). Wetlands 34: 469-478. Doi:10.1007/s13157-014-0513-6 | pdf

McCauley L.A., Jenkins D.G., Quintana-Ascencio P.F. 2014. Reproductive failure of a long-lived wetland tree in urban lands and managed forests. Journal of Applied Ecology 50:23-33 | pdf


Jones, O.R., A. Scheuerlein, R. Salguero-Gómez, C. Giovanni Camarda, R. Schaible, B.B. Casper, J.P. Dahlgren, J. Ehrlén, M. Begoña García, E.S. Menges, P.F. Quintana-Ascencio, H. Caswell, A. Baudisch, J.W. Vaupel. Varieties of ageing across the tree of life. 2013. Nature 505: 169-173 | pdf

Wilkinson, L., Y. E. Chee, Nicholson, A. E and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2013. An object-oriented spatial and temporal Bayesian network for managing willows in and American Heritage River Catchment. Proceedings of the MSTND-13 workshop at UAI-13, Bellevue, Washington, USA, July 11-15 | pdf

Crone, E.E, M. Ellis, W.F. Morris, A. Stanley, T. Bell, P. Bierzychudek, J. Ehrlén. T. N. Kaye, T. M. K.M night,  P Lesica, G. Oostermeijer, P. F. Quintana-Ascencio, T. Ticktin, T. Valverde, J. L. Williams, D. F. Doak, R. Ganesan, K. McEachern, A. S. Thorpe, E. S. Menges. 2013. Ability of matrix models to explain the past and predict the future of plant populations. Conservation Biology 27:968-978 | pdf

Quintana-Ascencio P.F., J. E. Fauth, L. M. Castro Morales, K. J. Ponzio, D. Hall, and K. Snyder. 2013. Taming the beast: Managing hydrology to control Carolina willow (Salix caroliniana) seedlings and cutting. Restoration Ecology, 21 639-647 | pdf

McCauley L.A., Jenkins D.G., Quintana-Ascencio P.F. 2013. Isolated wetland loss and degradation over two decades in an increasingly urbanized landscape. Wetlands 33: 117-127 | pdf


Nicholson, A. E., Y. En Chee, and P.F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2012. A state-transition DBN for management of willow in an American Heritage River Catchment. Proceedings of the 9th Australian Bayesian Network Modeling Society, Catalina Island, California USA Paper 20.

Ellis, M.M., J. Williams, P. Lesica, T. J. Bell, P. Bierzychudek, M. Bowles, E.E. Crone, D.F. Doak, J. Ehrlén, A. Ellis-Adam, K. McEachern, R. Ganesan, P. Latham, S. Luijten, T.N. Kaye, T. M. Knight, E.S. Menges, W. F. Morris, H. den Nijs,G. Oostermeijer, P. F. Quintana-Ascencio, J.S. Shelly, A. Stanley, A. Thorpe, T. Ticktin, T. Valverde, C. Weekley. 2012. Matrix population models from 20 studies of perennial populations. Ecology, 93: 951 . (Data Paper: Ecological Archives) | pdf

Ferrer, M, M E., Méndez-González, P. F. Quintana-Ascencio, A. Dorantes Euan, G. Dzib, R. Durán García. 2012. Population dynamics of the cactus Mammillaria gaumeri: an integral projection model approach. Population Ecology, 54: 321-334 | pdf

Stephens, E.L., Castro-Morales, L.M., Quintana-Ascencio, P.F. 2012. Post-dispersal seed predation, germination and seedling survival of five rare Florida scrub species in intact and degraded habitats. American Midland Naturalist, 167(2): 223-239. 2012. doi: | pdf

Kirkman, K.L., Smith, L.L., Quintana-Ascencio, P.F., Kaeser, M.J., Golladay,  S.W.  & Farmer A.L. 2012. Is species richness congruent among taxa? Surrogacy, complementarity and environmental correlates among three disparate taxa in geographically isolated wetlands. Ecological Indicators, 18:.131-139 | pdf

Navarra, J. J., and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2012. Spatial pattern and composition of the Florida Scrub seed bank and vegetation along an anthropogenic disturbance gradient. Applied Vegetation Science, 15: 349-358 | pdf

Menges, E.S, Stephens, E.L., Quintana-Ascencio, P.F. & Ferrer-Cervantes M. E. 2012. Seed germination and seedling survival of Asimina obovata in Florida Scrub. Florida Scientist, 75: 41-50 | pdf

Miller, T, Quintana-Ascencio, P.F. Maliakal-Witt, S, & E. S. Menges 2012. Metacommunity dynamics over 16 years in a pyrogenic shrubland. Conservation Biology, 26: 357-366 | pdf


Boughton, E H., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., Bohlen, & Nickerson, D. P. 2011. Differencial facilitative and competitive effects of a dominant macrophyte in grazed subtropical wetlands. Journal of Ecology, 99: 1263-1271. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01850.x | pdf

Martínez-Camilo, R, González-Espinosa, M, Pérez-Farrera, M A. Quintana-Ascencio, P.F. & L. Ruiz-Montoya. 2011. Evaluación del efecto del aprovechamiento foliar en Chamaedorea quezalteca Standl & Steyerm. (Palmae), in the Triunfo Biosphere Reserve, Chiapas, México. Agrociencia, 45: 507-518 | pdf

Navarra, J. J., N. Kohfeldt, E. S. Menges, and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2011. Seed bank changes with time-since-fire in Florida rosemary scrub. Fire Ecology, 7, 17-31. | pdf

Boughton, E. H., P. F. Quintana-Ascencio, and P. J. Bohlen. 2011. Refuge effects of Juncus effusus in grazed, subtropical wetland plant communities. Plant Ecology 212:451-460, doi 10.1007/s11258-010-9836-4 | pdf

Lázaro-Zermeño J. M., González-Espinosa, M,Mendoza A, Martínez-Ramos, M and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio. Individual growth, reproduction and population dynamics of Dioon merolae (Zamiaceae) under different leaf harvest histories in Central Chiapas, Mexico. Forestry Ecology and Management 261: 427-438 | pdf

Boughton, E H., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., Nickerson, D. & Bohlen, P. 2011. Management intensity affects the relationship between non-native and native species in subtropical wetlands. Applied Vegetation Science. 14: 210–220 | pdf

Crone, E., Menges, E., Ellis, M., Bell, T., Bierzychudek, P., Ehrlen, J., Kaye, T., Knight, T., Lesica, P., Morris, W., Oostermeijer, G., Quintana-Ascencio, P.F., Stanley, A., Valverde, T., Ticktin, T., Williams, J. 2011. How do plant ecologists use matrix population models? Ecology Letters 14:1 -8 | pdf

Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., E. S. Menges, C. W. Weekley and M. Kelrick. 2011. Biennial cycling caused by demographic delays in a fire-adapted annual plant. Population Ecology 53:131–142; DOI 10.1007/s10144-010-0228-3 | pdf


Boughton, E., P.F. Quintana-Ascencio, P.J. Bohlen, D. G. Jenkins and R. Pickert. 2010. Pasture intensity and isolation interact to affect wetland plant assemblages. Ecography 33: 461-470 | pdf

Matlaga, D , P.F. Quintana-Ascencio, E.S. Menges, and R. Pickert. 2010. Fire mediated edge effects  in bayhead tree-islands. Journal of Vegetation Science 21: 190-200 | pdf

Schaffer, J., E.S. Menges, P.F. Quintana-Ascencio, and C. W. Weekley. 2010. Effects of time-since-fire and microhabitat on the distribution and density of the endemic Parnonychia chartacea ssp. chartacea in Florida Scrub and along roadsides. American Midland Naturalist, 163: 294-310 | pdf


Quintana-Ascencio, P.F.,  M. J. Albert, I. Caballero, J. M. Olano, and A. Escudero. 2009. Does habitat structure matter? Spatially explicit population modelling of an Iberian gypsum endemic. Population Ecology 51:317-328 | pdf

Knickerbocker, C.M., Leitholf, S., Stephens, E.L., Keellings, D. J., Laird, H., Anderson, C.J.R., Fauth, J. E., and P.F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2009. Tree encroachment of a sawgrass (Cladium jamaicense) marsh within an increasingly urbanized ecosystem. Natural Areas Journal 29:15-26 | pdf

Picó F.X., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., Mildén M., Ehrlén J., Pfingsten, I. 2009. Modelling the effects of genetics and habitat on the demography of a grassland herb. Basic and Applied Ecology 10: 122-130. Doi:10.1016/j.baae.2008.02.006 | pdf


Dolan, R. W., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., Menges, E. S. 2008. Genetic change following fire in a population of a seed-banking perennial plant. Oecologia 158:355-360 | pdf

Glardon C.G., Walters L. J., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., McCauley, L. A., Stam, W. T. and Olsen, J. L. 2008. Predicting risks of invasion of macroalgae in the genus Caulerpa in Florida.  Biological Invasions 10: 1147-1157 | pdf


Weekley, C.W, E. S. Menges, and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio. 2007.Seedling emergence and survival of Warea carteri (Brassicaceae), an endangered annual herb of the Florida Scrub. Canadian Journal of Botany 85: 621-628 | pdf

Edwards, C.E., M Arakaki, P.F. Quintana-Ascencio, D.E. Soltis, and P.S. Soltis. 2007. Isolation and characterization of microsatellite loci from the endangered scrub Hypericum (Hypericum cumulicola). Molecular Ecology Notes doi:10.1111/j.1471-8286.2007.01808.x | pdf

Trapnell, D. W., Schmidt, J. P., Quintana-Ascencio, P. F. and Hamrick, J. L. 2007. Genetic diversity and biogeography of the southeastern endemic, Ceratiola ericoides (Empetraceae). Journal of Heredity 98: 587-593 | pdf

Weekley, C. W., D. Gagnon, E. S. Menges, P. F. Quintana-Ascencio and S. Saha. 2007. Soil moisture in relation to vegetation, gaps, and time since fire in Florida scrub. EcoScience 14: 377-386 | pdf

Quintana-Ascencio, P.F., Weekley, C., and E. S. Menges. 2007. Comparative demography of a rare species in Florida scrub and road habitats. Biological Conservation 137:263-270 | pdf


Boughton, E.A.; Quintana-Ascencio, P.F.; Menges, E.S. & Boughton, R.K. 2006. Association of ecotones with relative elevation and fire in an upland Florida landscape. Journal of Vegetation Science. 17:361-368 | pdf

Maschinski, J. J. E. Baggs. P. F. Quintana-Ascencio and E. S. Menges. 2006. Using population viability analysis to predict the effects of climate change on the extinction risk of an endangered limestone endemic shrub, Arizona Cliffrose. Conservation Biology. 20: 218-228 | pdf

Menges, E.S., P.F. Quintana-Ascencio , C.W. Weekley, and O.G. Gaoué. 2006. Population viability analysis and fire return intervals for an endemic Florida scrub mint. Biological Conservation 127: 115-127 | pdf


Trager, M. D., E. S. Menges, P. F Quintana-Ascencio, and C. Weekley. 2005. Outcrossing effects on the reproductive performance of Hypericum cumulicola , an endangered Florida scrub endemic. Journal of the Torrey Botanical Society, 132: 204-213 | pdf

Liu, H., E.S. Menges, and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 2005. Population viability of Chamaecrista keyensis – effects of fire, season and frequency. Ecological Applications , 15:210-221 | pdf


Quintana-Ascencio,P. F ., N. Ramírez-Marcial, M. González-Espinosa,and M. Martínez-Icó. 2004. Sapling survival and growth of conifer and broad-leaved trees in successional habitats in the highlands of Chiapas , Mexico . Applied Vegetation Science , 7: 81-88 | pdf

Menges, E. S. and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 2004. Evaluating population viability analysis with fire in Eryringium cuneifolium : deciphering a decade of demographic data. Ecological Monographs , 74: 79-100 | pdf


Brudvig, L. and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 2003. Herbivory and postgrazing response in Hypericum cumulicola . Florida Scientist 66: 99-108. Picó, F.X., P. F.

Quintana-Ascencio , E, S. Menges, and F. López-Barrera. 2003. Recruitment rates exhibit high elasticity and high temporal variation in populations of a short-lived perennial herb. Oikos 103:69-74 | pdf

Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., E. S. Menges, and C. Weekley. 2003. A fire-explicit population viability analysis of Hypericum cumulicola in Florida rosemary scrub. Conservation Biology 17: 433-449 | pdf

Menges, E. S., and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 2003. Modeling the effects of disturbance, spatial variation and environmental heterogeneity on population viability of plants. pp. 289-311 in Brigham , C.A. and M.W. Schwartz (editors). Population Viability in Plants . Ecological Studies Series Vol 165. Springer Verlag Berlin , Heidelberg , Germany .


Satterthwaite, W., E. S. Menges, and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 2002. Populationviability of Scrub Buckwheat (Eriogonum logifolium var. gnaphalifolium) in relation to fire. Ecological Applications 12: 1672-1678 | pdf

Galindo-Jaimes L., M. González-Espinosa, P. F. Quintana-Ascencio and L. E. García Barrios. 2002. Tree composition and structure in disturbed stands with varying dominance by Pinus sp. in the Highlands of Chiapas, Mexico. Plant Ecology. 62 (2): 259-272 | pdf


Quintana-Ascencio, P. F., and E. S. Menges 2000. Competitive abilities of three narrowly endemic plant species in experimental neighborhoods along a fire gradient. American Journal of Botany , 87: 690-699 | pdf

Pérez-Farrera, M.A., P. F. Quintana-Ascencio , B. Salvatierra-Izaba, and A. P. Vovides. 2000. Population dynamics of Ceratozamia Matudai Lundell (Zamiaceae) in el Triunfo Biosphere Reserve , Chiapas , Mexico . Journal of the Torrey Botanical Society 127 (4): 291-299.


Quintana-Ascencio, P. F ., R. W. Dolan and E. S. Menges. 1998. Hypericum cumulicola demography in unoccupied and occupied Florida scrub patches with different time-since-fire. Journal of Ecology 86: 640-651 | pdf

Ramírez Marcial, N., M. González-Espinosa, S. Ochoa Gaona y P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 1998. Análisis florístico y sucesional en la Estación Biológica Cerro Huitepec, Chiapas, México. Acta Botánica Mexicana 44: 59-85 | pdf


Quintana-Ascencio, P. F . and M. Morales Hernández. 1997. Fire-mediated effects of shrubs, lichens and herbs on the demography of Hypericum cumulicola in patchy Florida scrub. Oecologia 112: 267-271 | pdf

González-Espinosa, M., S. Ochoa Gaona, N. Ramírez Marcial and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 1997. Contexto vegetacional y florístico de la agricultura en Los Altos de Chiapas, México. [Floristic and vegetational context of the agriculture in the highlands of Chiapas ] Pp. 85-117 in: M.R. Parra-Vázquez y B. M. Díaz-Hernández (eds.). Los Altos de Chiapas: agricultura y crisis rural . El Colegio de la Frontera Sur. San Cristóbal de Las Casas, Chiapas, México.


Quintana-Ascencio,P. F ., M. González Espinosa, N. Ramírez Marcial, G. Domínguez-Vázquez and M. Martínez-Icó. 1996. Soil seed bank and regeneration of Tropical Rain Forest from milpa fields at The Selva Lacandona, Chiapas, Mexico. Biotropica 28: 192-209 | pdf

Quintana-Ascencio, P. F and E. S. Menges. 1996. Inferring metapopulation dynamics from patch-level incidence of Florida scrub plants. Conservation Biology 10: 1210-1219 | pdf


González-Espinosa, M., S. Ochoa Gaona, N. Ramírez Marcial and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 1993. Current land-use trends and conservation of old-growth forest habitats in the Highlands of Chiapas, Mexico. Pp. 190-198. In: M. H. Wilson and S. A. Sader (eds.). Conservation of Neotropical migrant birds in Mexico . Maine Agricultural and Forest Experimental Station Micellaneous Publication 727, Maine , USA .


Quintana-Ascencio,P. F ., M. González Espinosa and N. Ramírez Marcial. 1992. Acorn removal, seedling survivorship and seedling growth of Quercus crispipilis in successional forests of the Highlands of Chiapas, Mexico. Bulletin of the Torrey Botanical Club 119: 6-18 | pdf

Ramírez-Marcial, N., M. González-Espinosa y P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 1992. El banco y la lluvia de semillas en comunidades secundarias de los bosques de Pino-Encino de Los Altos de Chiapas. Acta Botánica Mexicana 20: 59-75 | pdf

Quintana-Ascencio, P. F. y M. González-Espinosa. 1992. Papel sucesional y afinidad fitogeográfica de la flora leñosa de los bosques de pino-encino de Los Altos de Chiapas, México. Acta Botánica Mexicana 21:43-57 | pdf


González-Espinosa, M., P. F. Quintana-Ascencio , N. Ramírez Marcial y P. Gaytán Guzmán. 1991. Secondary succession in disturbed pine-oak forests of the Highlands of Chiapas, Mexico. Journal of Vegetation Science 2: 351-360 | pdf

González-Espinosa, M., P. F. Quintana-Ascencio y N. Ramírez Marcial. 1991. La demanda de recursos naturales y la alteración de la estructura y diversidad de los bosques tropicales. Ciencia (Revista de la Academia de la Investigación Científica) 42: 71-73.

Quintana-Ascencio, P. F . y M. González-Espinosa. 1991. Variación estacional en la dieta de Pogonomyrmex barbatus (Hymenoptera: Formicidae) en nopaleras del Centro de México. Folia Entomológica Mexicana 80: 245-261 | pdf


González-Espinosa, M. and P. F. Quintana-Ascencio . 1986. Seed predation and dispersal in a dominant desert plant: Opuntia , ants, birds and mammals. pp 273-284. in: A. Estrada and T.H. Fleming (eds.). Frugivores and seed dispersal . Dr. W. Junk Publishers, Dordrecht , The Netherlands | pdf


Aznavurian-Apajian, A., P. F. Quintana-Ascencio , y J. A. Viccón-Pale. 1981. Estudio de comportamiento de la garza chapulinera Bubulcus ibis en la Mancha, Veracruz. Centzontle, Revista de la Sociedad Mexicana de Ornitología 1: 277-287.