{"id":27520,"date":"2020-10-29T14:19:04","date_gmt":"2020-10-29T18:19:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sciencescosmaincms.cm.ucf.edu\/news\/?p=27520"},"modified":"2023-06-06T11:49:43","modified_gmt":"2023-06-06T15:49:43","slug":"political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Political Science Faculty Weigh in on 2020 Election"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-27521 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2020\/10\/2020-Election-Resized-300x287.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2020\/10\/2020-Election-Resized-300x287.jpg 300w, https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2020\/10\/2020-Election-Resized-1024x980.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2020\/10\/2020-Election-Resized-768x735.jpg 768w, https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2020\/10\/2020-Election-Resized-299x286.jpg 299w, https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2020\/10\/2020-Election-Resized.jpg 1445w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left\">The world has been watching the build-up to the U.S. presidential election for months now. The candidates and their platforms, the Electoral College and, in 2020, allegations of potential voter fraud are all of intense interest to international media.<\/p>\n<p>To find out what topics international media are interested in, we spoke with three faculty members from the <a href=\"https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/politics\/\">School of Politics, Security, and International Affairs<\/a> (SPSIA):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Aubrey Jewett, Ph.D. (Associate Professor)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>John Hanley, Ph.D. (Lecturer)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Daniel Marien, Ph.D. (Associate Lecturer)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Below are the viewpoints of these three faculty members on what it\u2019s like interviewing with foreign journalists.(Responses have been edited for brevity and clarity.)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>COS:<\/em> <em>How do you explain the electoral college and Florida\u2019s role in the election?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Aubrey Jewett:<\/strong> \u00a0I\u2019m most frequently asked, \u201cWhy is Florida so important in U.S. presidential elections?\u201d They always want to know that as part of the story regardless of the specific angle they are covering.<\/p>\n<p>Florida\u2019s political value to recent presidential campaigns is a result of several factors. Florida is a populous state with the third largest number of (electoral college) votes and the most electoral votes (29) of any battleground state. (Many states are reliably Republican or reliably Democratic, but only about a dozen states are competitive &#8211; these are also called \u2018swing states\u2019). The Sunshine State is a swing state with a perfect record of voting for the winning president since 1996; It has voted three times for a Democrat and three times for Republican and all six times for the winner (only one other state has done that).<\/p>\n<p><strong>John Hanley:<\/strong> Audiences know Florida from the 2000 recount \u2014 reinforced by the state&#8217;s visibility as a tourist destination \u2014 so they are interested in where the race stands here as a bellwether for what is going to happen. That depends a little on the day, but the general answer is that there has been a fairly consistent Biden lead. Trump has tried a bunch of different attacks on Biden throughout the campaign, but none has paid off yet, and he is running out of time.\u00a0The polling suggests that seniors have been pulling away from Trump, as have more educated and high-income voters. The gender gap is really big. At the same time, we are seeing some movement to Trump among African Americans, Latinos, and lower-education voters. So, in Florida especially, it&#8217;s going to come down to how motivated each of these groups are to turn out.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Daniel Marien:<\/strong> Canada\u2019s voting procedures in national elections are much simpler (uniformity across the country, technical simplicity and reliability of paper ballots, ease of registration). There are also no partisan efforts at suppressing the voting participation of specific populations.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, there is a need to explain and describe the voting procedures, their variability by state, issues with access to the ballots, the role of the Electoral Colleges, the registration process, etc. (Canadians are typically surprised to learn that U.S. voters may declare a party affiliation when registering.)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>COS: What kind of questions do you get about campaigns and public events? <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>John Hanley:<\/strong> Debates are a big topic. You get questions like &#8220;What does Biden\/Trump need to do in this debate,&#8221; or the BBC asked, \u201cWhat was the effect of the second debate being canceled?\u201d Debates are a big focal point, but rarely move the needle much because most voters see candidates through their own beliefs and partisanship. In the first 2012 debate, for instance, Mitt Romney beat President Barack Obama pretty badly,\u00a0but most Democrats still thought Obama had won.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Daniel Marien:<\/strong> Canadian media pay much attention to these debates. They are broadcast directly on both the English and the French language national news networks (CBC News and Radio-Canada RDI).<\/p>\n<p>I stress that TV debates rarely change the distribution of public opinion, that much lies and distortions are stated by candidates during these debates and that one needs to consult fact-checkers after the debates to gain a more accurate picture of issues and candidates\u2019 positions.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Watch the interviews below:<\/p>\n<p>Daniel Marien, communicates frequently with Canadian media. Since Labor Day through Nov. 4, he has been scheduled for nine radio interviews with local morning programs in Montreal, Quebec City and one for the national network. He has also completed five TV interviews (over Skype) with Radio-Canada\u2019s program <em>Le Telejournal avec Pascale Nadeau<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Aubrey Jewett, is one of the most prolifically interviewed faculty members at UCF. Here are some of his international interviews.<\/p>\n<p>Canada &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fici.radio-canada.ca%2Fnouvelle%2F1741769%2Fcovid-floride-disney-magie&amp;data=04%7C01%7CKyle.Martin%40ucf.edu%7C38d125497a5d45b7fb9d08d876d80738%7Cbb932f15ef3842ba91fcf3c59d5dd1f1%7C0%7C0%7C637390017486945236%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&amp;sdata=lPC7AV8gLL7z7Fd432eT%2B8stLC3p8NyTAPSzepe09XQ%3D&amp;reserved=0\">https:\/\/ici.radio-canada.ca\/nouvelle\/1741769\/covid-floride-disney-magie<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sweden &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.svd.se%2Fhar-star-striden-som-kan-leda-till-vita-huset&amp;data=04%7C01%7CKyle.Martin%40ucf.edu%7C38d125497a5d45b7fb9d08d876d80738%7Cbb932f15ef3842ba91fcf3c59d5dd1f1%7C0%7C0%7C637390017486955234%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&amp;sdata=SDwFPpbvc1lJ4NKb28z8c3PeeHvkF15Euzej3%2BUMRcY%3D&amp;reserved=0\">https:\/\/www.svd.se\/har-star-striden-som-kan-leda-till-vita-huset<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Britain &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thetimes.co.uk%2Farticle%2Ffloridas-tide-of-grey-voters-is-turning-against-trump-fxhjmfj7n&amp;data=04%7C01%7CKyle.Martin%40ucf.edu%7C38d125497a5d45b7fb9d08d876d80738%7Cbb932f15ef3842ba91fcf3c59d5dd1f1%7C0%7C0%7C637390017486965225%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&amp;sdata=Mb8iJ%2FjEjpYtuTwueZXOfJ%2BSVNhdtal7DLOcGKEMK9w%3D&amp;reserved=0\">https:\/\/www.thetimes.co.uk\/article\/floridas-tide-of-grey-voters-is-turning-against-trump-fxhjmfj7n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>John Hanley, has an interview recently with the United Kingdom\u2019s BBC Breakfast.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2FBBCBreakfast%2Fstatus%2F1315889179981746179&amp;data=04%7C01%7CKyle.Martin%40ucf.edu%7C4ae7ce38dc0f4463e21a08d875c0a468%7Cbb932f15ef3842ba91fcf3c59d5dd1f1%7C0%7C0%7C637388817540455793%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&amp;sdata=sINX7n6MGofIdrghThvixCUGOcirsgBfkRdv67bpd80%3D&amp;reserved=0\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/BBCBreakfast\/status\/1315889179981746179<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The world has been watching the build-up to the U.S. presidential election for months now. The candidates and their platforms, the Electoral College and, in 2020, allegations of potential voter fraud are all of intense interest to international media. To find out what topics international media are interested in, we spoke with three faculty members [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":27521,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[38,39,16],"tags":[361,846,6283,6279],"class_list":["post-27520","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-breaking-news","category-faculty-news","category-political-science-departments","tag-aubrey-jewett","tag-daniel-marien","tag-john-hanley","tag-ucf-school-of-politics-security-and-international-affairs"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Political Science Faculty Weigh in on 2020 Election - College of Sciences News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Political Science Faculty Weigh in on 2020 Election - College of Sciences News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The world has been watching the build-up to the U.S. presidential election for months now. The candidates and their platforms, the Electoral College and, in 2020, allegations of potential voter fraud are all of intense interest to international media. To find out what topics international media are interested in, we spoke with three faculty members [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"College of Sciences News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-10-29T18:19:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-06T15:49:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sciences.ucf.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2020\/10\/2020-Election-Resized.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1445\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1383\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Judy Froehlich\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Judy Froehlich\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Judy Froehlich\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d0a56f308c46b7b3e18f52d6ef199e82\"},\"headline\":\"Political Science Faculty Weigh in on 2020 Election\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-10-29T18:19:04+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-06-06T15:49:43+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":797,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/29\\\/2020\\\/10\\\/2020-Election-Resized.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Aubrey Jewett\",\"Daniel Marien\",\"John Hanley\",\"UCF School of Politics Security and International Affairs\"],\"articleSection\":[\"COS News\",\"Faculty News\",\"School of Politics, Security, and International Affairs\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sciences.ucf.edu\\\/news\\\/political-science-faculty-weigh-in-on-2020-election\\\/\",\"name\":\"Political Science Faculty Weigh in on 2020 Election - 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